
2001 The NASA Warfare Document
2001 The NASA Warfare Document
The NASA Warfare Document. Dennis M. Bushnell
Future Strategic Issues/Future Warfare (Circa 2025) Chief Scientist,
Future Enemy Capabilities. NASA Langley Research Center, 2001.
(((This Document, together with other documents such as; The report from Iron Mountain (1967), Silent Weapons for Quiet Wars (1979), are all military defence, Scientific, Industrial, economic, environmental, Psychological and societal plans of Intention, prognosis and future organisational structuring manuals,to meet the needs for anticipated countermeasures towards any future development, evolution, devolution or enemy structure with advanced and developed new techniques, weapons and warfare. There are also great concern and focus on assumptions regarding population control and a need to use advanced developed warfare techniques towards the domestic population in order to regulate and direct the masses to gain advantages in power, strategy, science, economy and social outputs. In this fairy tale for adults, we learn about the history of manipulation and the mechanisms and motives forming a Global Deep State entity that strives for Global dominance on every aspect of society. With this in mind, and knowing about substantial mechanisms and motives of the Deep State operating as a cancer on the concept of the free world and upon the freedom seeking individual striving to rise in development and expand its lifespace, it is more than helpful to read this chapter with the realization that thespeculations, methods and techniques put forward in these documents, are not just created for benevolent purposes, but can in fact, just as well, be used for malevolent and offensive totalitarian actions. Unfortunately, they all share the same fingerprint when, in various definitions, colors and formulations, they appoint humans or humanity as a major problem or even the Enemy that needs to be submitted, debased, regulated, reduced or eliminated. The essence of these documents are in many aspects opposite the writings in the Bible for instance, were instead human life are uplifted, revered and highly valued as a co-creator force of good and a stewardship and gardener of the Earth.)))
(((We can also recall what constituted the fundamental building material for the three letter Agencys (CIA, FBI, NSA)and NASA before, during and after WW2 under operation "Paperclip" wich greatly influenced, increasedand accelerated the Deep State entity.The Military Industrial complex and the driving 13 bloodline families seem to have forgotten that, in spite of their self appointed superhuman ruling psychosis and selfishness, they are still in major portions human themselves. Somewhere on the way, many things became corrupted and turned upside down. Somewhere, it seems the connection to humanity adhearing to senses, feelings and empathy were distorted or cut off. We must ask the questions – Is humanity the enemy, who decided that and why ??)))
(((The premise is that if a frog is put suddenly into boiling water, it will jump out, but if the frog is put in tepid water which is then brought to a boil slowly, it will not perceive the danger and will be cooked to death. This premise and analogy also applies for humans.)))
NASA documents from 2001 describe future weapons and outline warfare capabilities including a scenario to "take down" the United States with 10 personsandwith a budget <$10 millions. "PSYWAR", RF/microwave towers, mechanical micro-dust, chemical antifunctional/anti-personnel weapons, and other lethal systems are listed in this overview. . Immediate civilian oversight and strong public security measures are essential to govern in out-of-control alphabet agencies and rogue state actors
As Follows
Future Strategic Issues/Future Warfare [Circa 2025]
• Capabilities of the "Enemy After Next" -Ongoing Worldwide Technological Revolutions -Economic Trends
• Potential Nature of Farther Term Warfare
Dennis M. Bushnell Chief Scientist NASA Langley Research Center.
This is the "Readers Digest" version of a 2-hour Presentation put together at the request of the Army War College/SSI Presentation has been written up by Bill Stryker of DIA/Futures as the Future Threat for Global War Games etc., available on INTELNET
THIS PRESENTATION BASED UPON "FUTURES" WORK FOR/WITH
• USAF NWV
• USAF 2025
• National Research Council
• Army After Next
• ACOM Joint Futures
• SSG of the CNO
• Australian DOD
• DARPA, SBCCOM
• DIA, AFSOC, EB
• CIA, STIC, L-M
• APL, ONA, SEALS
• ONI, FBI, AWC/SSI
• NSAP, SOCOM
• MSIC, TRADOC
• JWAC, NAIC, IDA
• JFCOM, TACOM
• SACLANT
1.
Utilization/Application of 2025+ Projections
• Inputs to Future Warfighting Concepts Development(s) (Enemy After Next & Blue)
• Inputs to New Procurement Decision (15+ years to Produce, 40+ years in Inventory
• "Heads Up" for Intel Community ("Watches and Warnings")
• Inputs to DOD R&D Planning
2.
"Going In" Assumptions
• Politics can/does change "overnight" (e.g. Russia, Iran, Iraq, Pakistan, etc.), Potential CAPABILITIES is the future warfare issue, not Who but WHAT
• Order of 10+ years required to develop/field new systems, in inventory for 30+ years, should be designed for middle of inventory period, hence 2025 time period
3.
CURRENTLY
• Order of 70% of Worlds Research conducted outside of U.S. (to first order, a % of GDP, U.S. produces order of 18% of worlds GDP)
• Order of 70% of U.S. Research now "Commercial" (as opposed to Government sponsored)
4.
Technological Ages of Humankind
• Hunter/Killer groups [Million BC~10K BC]
• Agriculture [10K BC~1800 AD]
• Industrial [1800~1950]
• IT [1950~2020]
• Bio/NANO [2020-?]
• Virtual
• Hunter-Gatherer - "Nature Provided"
• Agriculture - Controlled Nature (Plants/Animals)
• Industrial - Mechanized Agriculture
• IT/BIO/Nano - Automating Industry/Agriculture
• Virtual - Robotization of IT/Bio/Nano/Industry/Agriculture
5.
Worldwide IT Revolution
• Comms/Computing/Sensors/Electronics
• U.S. Commercial IT R&D ~ $100B/yr.
• Factor of 1 Million further improvement [Silicon,Molecular,Quantum,Bio,Optical]
• Beyond Human AI?
• Automatics/Robotics "in the large"
• Immersive multi-sensory VR/"Holodecks"
• Ubiquitous multi physics/hyperspectral sensors [land/sea/air/space]
• Micro/Nano sats/GNC/sensors,etc.
6.
[Worldwide] Impacts of Ongoing IT Revolution Upon Society
• Tele-commuting
• Tele-shopping
• Tele-entertainment
• Tele-travel
• Tele-Education
• Tele-medicine
• Tele-commerce
• Tele-politics
• Tele-socialization
7.
Inexpensive Motivational Asynchronous Web-Based Distance Education Enables:
• Demise of the U.S. "underclasses"
• Wealth Creation from enabled "Invention"
• Stabilization of World Population
• [Even More] Rapid Technology Diffusion
• Equalization of "Haves" and "Havenots"
• Altered Political/military outlooks Worldwide - I.E. Changes "Everything"
8.
IT Status
• 10E6 improvements in Computing since '59, 10E8 further possible next 30 years (10E3 provides "better than Human" capabilities)
• 100 Million Telecommuters Worldwide NOW (expected to at least double in 15 years)
• India graduates three times more software engineers than the U.S., More software written in Bangalore than Southern CA
• IW effectively constitutes a 4th WMD
9.
"In this [Worldwide] economy our ability to create wealth is not bounded by physical limits/resources but by our ability to come up with new ideas" [However,even "universal wealth" will not obviate the other causes of warfare which include Politics,"Face",Religion, Megalomania and Territorial Disputes]
10.
Current Competitive Landscape
• U.S. produces only 18% of Worlds GDP
• ~70% of Research conducted offshore
• $300B/yr trade deficit
• 32 other nations devote a larger % of their GDP to Research
• 5th in No of R&D personnel/labor unit
• 3% savings rate vs. 30% in Asia
• Proliferation of IT,bio,nano,Space Technology etc.
11.
Bio Revolution Applications
• "Pharm Animals" [drugs, spare parts]
• Fast Growing plants on/near sea surface & sea water irrigated plants for biomass energy/closed CO2 cycle
• Polymer growing plants
• Spider genes in goats allow spider silk spinning from goat milk for "Biosteel", 3.5X strength of aramid fibers for Armor
• Binary Bio-weaponry
12.
Advantages of Shallow Sea/Desert Production of Biomass (Via Seawater Irrigation)
• Closed CO2 Cycle (Obviates Global Warming)
• Food
• Petro-chemical feedstock – Materials/clothing, etc. – ENERGY (end reliance on Middle East)
• Terraforming, alter desertification etc.
• Preservation/Production of Fresh Water
• Rich Mineral source (Seawater)
• Utilization of "Wastelands" (Sahara, etc.)
13.
Carbon Nanotubes
• C1,000,000, Buckminister Fullerine Carbon
• 100X strength, 1/6 weight of steel
• 8X better Armor
• Low energy Molecular/Petaflop Computing
• Ultra Capacitor/High Temperature SC
• Non-Cryo H2 storage
14.
Free Form Fabrication
• Powder/Wire Metallurgy using robotic magnetically steered electron beams to create accreting local melts - GROW instead of CUT
• No fasteners, no strong backs for fasteners
• Nearly infinite fatigue life, excellent metallurgy
• (Repairable) metals at lower weight than far more expensive composites
15.
Aluminum/Vortex Combustor
• Micro powdered Aluminum fed into a vortex combustor "burns" SEAWATER
• Provides AIP with high energy density/efficiency for: -inexpensive SS with "near SSN" perf. -Transoceanic UUV's
• Would allow "Enemy After Next" to AFFORDABLY Threaten CONUS via Multitudinous in-shore short-time-offlight "popups"
16.
(Sample) New(er) Sensors
• Lidar w/ 50% efficiency via S-C optical Amplifiers, Also Fempto-second Lasers
• Molec./Bio Sensors
• Nanotags
• Smart Card Sensors
• Sensors implanted during Manuf./Servicing
• Nano IR (10E-6 Sensitivity)
• Smart Dust
17.
Some Sensor "Swarms"
• SMART DUST
– Cubic mm or less
– Combined sensors, comms and power supply
– Floats in air currents for up to 2 years
• NANOTAGS
– Placed on everything/everywhere
– Identification and Status Info
• Co-opted INSECTS
18.
"Givens" (Now-to-"Soon")
• Gb data transfer rates, optical comms
• Terraflop-to-petaflop computing
• Exceptional AI (from Bioinfomatics, biomimetics)
• Wonderous/Ubiquitous land/sea/air/space multiphysics/hyperspectral sensor swarms (military/commercial/scientific)
• Survival requires dispersion/size reduction and concealment
• Robotic/swarm technologies primarily commercial/endemic worldwide
19.
(Agreed Upon) Assumption, Combat in 2025
• Proliferation of TBM's, IT, Precision strike/targeting, ubiquitous micro sensors, camo/spoofing, robotics, bio/chem munitions
• Logistic assets highly vulnerable in or out of theater
• In and near theater ports/airfields possibly unusable
• Beam weapons increasingly prevalent
20.
"Volumetric" Weaponry [Alternatives to HE]
• EMP
• Info/Net/Psy warfare
• Miniature brilliant sensor/mine combo's
• Fuel/air & dust/air
• RF
• Chem/bio Antifunctionals/antifauna
• Isomers, Strained Bond Energy Release, etc.
• Carbon fibers/Acoustics etc.
21.
Some Interesting "Then Year" BW Possibilities
• Aflatoxin - ("natural," parts-per-billion, carcinogen)
• Airborne varieties of Ebola, Lassa, etc.
• Binary agents distributed via imported products (Vitamins, Clothing, Food)
• Genomicaly (individual/societal) targeted pathogens
• Long term/fingerprintless campaign (as opposed to "shock and awe" BW)
22.
Blast Wave Accelerator
• Global Precision Strike "On the Cheap"
• No barrel, ~100 ft. notched rails, sequentially detonated Distributed HE
• Mach 27 or less as desired, up to 3000 lb
• Base anywhere, ~$200/lb of projectile
• Excellent stealth [no plume], affordability, ferocity, reaction time, survivability, recallability, effectiveness
• Being worked at Aberdeen and NASA MSFC for lofting of Fuel and Nanosats
23.
"Slingatron" for Global Precision Strike
• 10Kg projectiles, up to thousands/minute
• Global, or less, range
• $20M/device
• Mechanical "on-the-ground" propulsion via Gyrating Spiral Guide Tube (a multiple "hula hoop"
• "Poor Mans" Global Precision Strike/"Takedown Weapon"
24.
Then Year Targeting/ Connectivity etc.
• MILITARY overheads/systems
• Ubiquitous COMMERCIAL overheads/systems
• SCIENTIFIC overheads/systems IN the context of:
- Inexp. Reconstitution via micro/nano sats
- Optical comms /GPS etc.
- Ubiquitous inexp. UAV/HALE adjuncts
25.
Summary
- Major Influences of IT/Bio/Nano Upon Future Warfare
• Ubiquitous miniaturized/networked multi physics,hyperspectral sensors
• Robotics/Automatics "in the large"
• Long range precision strike/targeting
• Info/net Warfare
• Mini/micro/nano Sats, Cruise, UAV's
• Binary Bio Weaponry
• Miniature/ubiquitous "smart mines"
26.
Potential Future "Orders of Magnitude" Increases in Overall Weapon Effectiveness/Availability at Orders of Magnitude Reduced Cost(s)
• Bio/Chem/Molec./Nano Computing - (E6)
• Ubiquitous Optical Comms - (E4)
• Micro/Nano/Ubiquitous Sensors - (E4)
• BioWeaponry - (EN)
• Co-operative Swarms of Cheap/Small Weapons/Sensors - (E4)
• Volumetric Weaponry - (E4)
• Cyber/Artificial Life (Beyond AI) - (E?)
27
Potential En-route Logistic Vulnerabilities Logistic surface ships and aircraft are non-LO and undefended, could be targeted and attrited inside the continental shelf by:
-"Eggs" [subsurface floating encapsulated missiles implanted by freighters/SS/air]
-SS [torps/missiles/subsam]
-Transoceanic UUV's, UAV's
-Blast wave accelerator
-Cruise, TBM's -MINES
28.
Fundamental Problem With Future U.S. Power Projection
• "EAN" can have "country sized magazines" filled with hordes of inexpensive Precision strike "Munitions" - Area Denial
• U.S. Forces run out of "bullets" and die [Beam weapons not panacea, inexpensive workarounds available]
• Deep Water Subs with large loadout/"swimin" weaponry only survivable "Close-in" platform
29.
THE INSHORE DETECTION VULNERABILITIES (+ ACTIVE) ACOUSTICS
• Visual, lidar, IR, bio-lum, turbidity
• Press. pertub. effects on water column chem., H2 bubbles, salinity, chem. releases
• Internal waves/surface waves--surfactant layer mods, in situ turb./wakes, atmos. mods
• Magnetics, coms, periscope/radar, neutron flux OPERATED ON "TAKE-A-VOTE"
30.
An ALTERNATIVE? "A Spherical Submarine"
• Obviate wave drag via submergence
• Optimal structural configuration
• Optimal (Goldschmeid) Propulsion Integration
• Minimal wetted area/volume (large radius)
• Onboard Polymer plant for TDR
• Minimal Interference & "controls" drag (thrust vectoring)
31.
Example 'Then Year" Direct Conus Attack Capabilities
[~80% of CONUS population/infrastructure within ~ 50 Miles of a "coastline"]
• Inexp. Transoceanic UUV's/UAV's/Cruise
• Inexp. Blast Wave Accelerators
• Inexp. Info/Net/Psywar
• Inexp. Inshore AIP SS [mines/torps/SLCM]
• Inexp. Binary Bio into Food Supply
• Inexp. Semi-submerged Missile "eggs"
• Inexp. 'Trojan Horse" "civilian" systems [Above in addition to ICBM/TBM]
32.
Future Warfare "On The Cheap"
• Info/net warfare
• Binary bio [anti-functional/fauna]
• Non-lethals
• Miniature brilliant sensor-mines
• Micro/Nano Sats
• LO/Long leg/precision UUV's/UAV's/Cruise
• Inexp./Superb/survivability ISR/comms
• Blast wave accelerator
33.
"Then Year" "Peer Competitors" Peer Competitor no longer defined by "megatonnage" of obsolescent Industrial age steel and aluminum Artifacts. The Drastically reduced entry investment enabled by "Warfare on the Cheap" ensures almost any nation or sizable organization can be a very worrisome Military "peer."
34.
Fundamental Military Issues/Metrics
• Affordability ["Warfare on the Cheap"]
• Survivability ["Can see everything, Anything you can see you can kill"]
• Effectiveness [Lethality of Precision and Volumetric weaponry]
I.E. Simultaneous ongoing Revolutions in all three of the major Warfare Metrics
35.
Given the Superb/Ubiquitous World Wide Sensor Suites and Precision Strike Capabilities "Then Year" the Following WILL NOT BE SURVIVABLE
• APODS/SPODS
• Runways
• Surface Ships
• Manned (logistic/combat) Aircraft
• Manned (logistic/combat) Ground Vehicles
Due to their size & (multi-physics) signatures
36.
Trends Summary
• Tele-everything
• U.S. just "one of the crowd" economically
• "Warfare on the cheap," many potential "peers"
• Warfare Increasingly Robotic
• Survivable/Affordable power projection via deep water subs and Blast Wave Accelerators
• CONUS and Logistics Defense increasingly worrisome
37.
"Circa 2025"
• Machines as creative/"smart" as humans "Robotics" the "norm"
• Zeroth order "warstopper" - Binary bio into nation's agric./food distrib. system (every home/fox hole)
• Next level of concern: Ubiquitous/Cheap micro-to-nano EVERYTHING (sensors, munitions, weapons swarms/hordes)
• Battlefield attrition/CNN syndrome forces U.S. Army to look/act like SOCOM
38.
(Suggested) Major U.S. Future (2025) Warfare Issues
• CONUS Defense (Requirement(s) for, potential approaches)
• Logistics Defense/Protection (in/out of theater)
• Survivability/Effectiveness of U.S. Forces on/near the "Killing Ground" in an era of affordable ubiquitous multiphysics hyperspectral sensors, precision strike, volumetric weaponry, "swarms" and hardened munitions
• "Non-explosive Warfare" (psywar, biowar IT/net war, "anti-operability war," Beam weaponry including RF, Spoofing/Cammo
• Robotic Warfare "in the large"/better than human AI/"Cyber life"
• Alternative Power Projection Approaches (e.g. Deep Water depth/death sphere, blast wave accelerator, etc.)
39.
Future "Power Projection"?
• Humans "hold" instead of "take" ground (go in after "Sanitization")
• Sanitization via:
– IW/Psywar
– Global Reach "Guns" (BWA/Slingatron)
– Deep water/large loadout Subs w/"swimins"
– "Robotic Everything" w/Volumetric weaponry non-explosive warfare
40.
Changing Nature of Warfare
Hunter/ Gatherer Hunting Grounds Tribal Bands Hand Held/ Thrown
Agricultural Farm Lands Prof. Armies Hand Held/ Thrown
Industrial Natural Resources Mas s Levee Mech./ Chem.
IT/Bio/Nano Societal Disruption Everyone IT /Bio /'Bots
41.
RMA Planning "Shortfalls" (NPS)
• "Indications of the innovative paths adversaries might take or how they might adapt technologies from the civilian world" (Being worked in the "Technical War Games")
• "The path from todays systems and capabilities to those hypothesized for the future (2020+)"
42.
What is needed is a "Then Year" (~2030) Serious/Holistic Vision of Warfare Changes Resulting from the On-going IT/Bio/Nano/Virtual Technological Revolutions
• Such does not exist, "bumper sticker" attempts extant.
• All are agreed, warfare will become increasingly robotic and probably more affordable, swarms of sensors/shooters are a given.
• A longer term "Vision" of these changes would enable "mapping" from the present, NOT AT ALL CLEAR HOW TO "Get There From Here" as do not know where "there" is!
https://www.metabunk.org/attachments/future-strategic-issues-and-warfare-pdf.3295/
https://jdfor2024.com/2021/11/nasa-future-strategic-issues-future-warfare-circa-2025/
https://archive.org/details/FutureStrategicIssuesFutureWarfareCirca2025
https://community.apan.org/cfs-file/__key/telligent-evolution-components-attachments/01-9016-00-00-00-13-33-31/FutureWarfare_5F00_bushnell_5F00_nasa.pdf
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